Commodity Radar: Time to buy MCX Aluminium futures in dips, says Religare analyst. Why technicals & fundamentals support trade

**Aluminium Prices on the Rise: What’s Behind the Surge?**

**Tariffs and Trade Tensions Boost Aluminium Prices**

Aluminium prices are on a steady climb, and it’s not hard to see why. The recent imposition of US tariffs on Mexican imports has created a ripple effect in the global aluminium market, driving prices upwards. This move has restricted the flow of Mexican aluminium into the US, creating a supply gap that’s being felt across the industry.

**China’s Output Restrictions Add to the Pressure**

But that’s not the only factor at play. China, the world’s largest aluminium producer, has been restricting its output in recent months. This reduction in supply has further tightened the global market, putting upward pressure on prices. As the world’s largest consumer of aluminium, China’s actions have a significant impact on the global market.

**European Demand on the Rise**

Meanwhile, European demand for aluminium is on the rise, driven by a resurgence in the region’s manufacturing sector. As European companies look to restock their inventories and meet growing demand, they’re driving up prices and supporting the current bullish trend.

**Technical Indicators Confirm the Trend**

A closer look at the technical indicators reveals a clear upward trend in aluminium prices. Both MCX futures and global contracts are showing strong bullish momentum, with key indicators confirming the sustained upward trend. This suggests that the current price surge is more than just a flash in the pan – it’s a genuine shift in the market.

**What’s Next for Aluminium Prices?**

As the aluminium market continues to evolve, one thing is clear: prices are likely to remain elevated in the short term. With tariffs, output restrictions, and rising demand all contributing to the current trend, it’s a good time to be an aluminium producer. But for consumers, the outlook is less rosy. As prices continue to climb, manufacturers and consumers alike will be keeping a close eye on the market, wondering when the trend will finally reverse.

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